May 24 2007

Florida Poll Has Thompson Second

Fred Thompson’s stealth candidacy has moved within 5 points of Giuliani in the newly important Florida primary. It’s worth noting that Gingrich, who has been polling near 10 points in most states, was not included on the list. This perhaps confirms my impression that, at least at present, Newt and Thompson supports are interchangable. Thus, whichever of these two potential candidates enters the fray first will likely pick up most of the supporters of the other. My guess is that Fred is preparing to enter the race in early June, and as a consequence a Newt candidacy is not going to happen.

Fred is also said to have an opening in crucial Iowa.

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